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Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2021-01-11 - 2022-12-23

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  • 1.46% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 262

  • Upside:Downside

    48.9% 51.1%

  • -2.16% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 155

  • Upside:Downside

    47.1% 52.9%

  • -7.6% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 64

  • Upside:Downside

    51.6% 48.4%

  • -11.31% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 29

  • Upside:Downside

    55.2% 44.8%

  • -11.89% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 36

  • Upside:Downside

    52.8% 47.2%

  • -13.54% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 34

  • Upside:Downside

    52.9% 47.1%

  • -27.48% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 20

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • 4.9% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 22

  • Upside:Downside

    63.6% 36.4%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


124.65 - 126.51 126.51 - 128.39 128.39 - 130.25 130.25 - 132.11 132.11 - 133.99 133.99 - 135.85
6.35% 14.6% 27.14% 28.25% 15.71% 4.6%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.33% to move lower than 124.65 or higher than 135.85.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓1.43%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓1.43% at 55.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓1.27% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓8.9%.

- Mean %: ∓1.53%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.36% - 0.54% 0.54% - 1.08% 1.08% - 2.17% 2.17% - 4.33% 4.33% - 6.5%
0.0% 6.02% 38.19% 49.29% 6.34%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.16% to move lower than 0.36% or higher than 6.5%.

- Standard deviation range is 1.08% at 6.0th percentile.

- Median %: 2.35% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.76%.

- High %: 6.66%.

- Mean %: 2.48%.