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Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2019-09-24 - 2021-09-27

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  • -0.94% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 131

  • Upside:Downside

    51.1% 48.9%

  • -2.97% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 44

  • Upside:Downside

    52.3% 47.7%

  • -1.92% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 47

  • Upside:Downside

    57.4% 42.6%

  • 3.95% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 47

  • Upside:Downside

    57.4% 42.6%

  • 7.36% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 30

  • Upside:Downside

    56.7% 43.3%

  • 8.07% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 24

  • Upside:Downside

    58.3% 41.7%

  • -7.56% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 44

  • Upside:Downside

    47.7% 52.3%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


138.9 - 141.07 141.07 - 143.22 143.22 - 145.37 145.37 - 147.52 147.52 - 149.67 149.67 - 151.84
5.88% 9.63% 29.68% 30.75% 16.04% 3.48%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.55% to move lower than 138.9 or higher than 151.84.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓1.48%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓1.48% at 60.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓1.22% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓12.86%.

- Mean %: ∓1.51%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.36% - 0.54% 0.54% - 1.07% 1.07% - 2.15% 2.15% - 4.3% 4.3% - 6.44%
0.0% 11.47% 50.67% 33.6% 3.73%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.53% to move lower than 0.36% or higher than 6.44%.

- Standard deviation range is 1.07% at 11.0th percentile.

- Median %: 1.87% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.76%.

- High %: 7.36%.

- Mean %: 2.14%.