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Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-05-18 - 2022-05-17

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  • -2.32% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 159

  • Upside:Downside

    56.0% 44.0%

  • -5.13% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 65

  • Upside:Downside

    52.3% 47.7%

  • -8.61% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 23

  • Upside:Downside

    60.9% 39.1%

  • -10.61% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 2

  • Upside:Downside

    100.0% 0.0%

  • N/A from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • -6.54% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    100.0% 0.0%

  • -18.42% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 4

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • 21.47% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


143.27 - 145.26 145.26 - 147.26 147.26 - 149.24 149.24 - 151.22 151.22 - 153.22 153.22 - 155.21
7.6% 12.17% 21.29% 25.86% 20.15% 5.7%

Details

- Beyond the model: 7.22% to move lower than 143.27 or higher than 155.21.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓1.33%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓1.33% at 47.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓1.48% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓6.98%.

- Mean %: ∓1.72%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.37% - 0.55% 0.55% - 1.11% 1.11% - 2.21% 2.21% - 4.42% 4.42% - 6.63%
0.0% 3.41% 37.5% 52.65% 5.3%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.14% to move lower than 0.37% or higher than 6.63%.

- Standard deviation range is 1.11% at 3.0th percentile.

- Median %: 2.46% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.8%.

- High %: 6.66%.

- Mean %: 2.65%.