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Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-12-01 - 2022-12-02

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  • -0.57% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 200

  • Upside:Downside

    47.5% 52.5%

  • 1.02% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 128

  • Upside:Downside

    55.5% 44.5%

  • 0.97% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 86

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -3.71% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 39

  • Upside:Downside

    56.4% 43.6%

  • -1.88% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 35

  • Upside:Downside

    57.1% 42.9%

  • -4.43% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 33

  • Upside:Downside

    45.5% 54.5%

  • -19.5% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 35

  • Upside:Downside

    51.4% 48.6%

  • 14.12% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 35

  • Upside:Downside

    57.1% 42.9%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


141.62 - 143.5 143.5 - 145.38 145.38 - 147.26 147.26 - 149.14 149.14 - 151.02 151.02 - 152.9
8.85% 11.19% 26.71% 27.55% 17.03% 4.01%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.67% to move lower than 141.62 or higher than 152.9.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓1.28%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓1.28% at 54.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓1.19% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓7.56%.

- Mean %: ∓1.48%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.33% - 0.5% 0.5% - 1.0% 1.0% - 2.0% 2.0% - 4.0% 4.0% - 6.0%
0.0% 4.33% 41.33% 48.33% 5.0%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.0% to move lower than 0.33% or higher than 6.0%.

- Standard deviation range is 1.0% at 4.0th percentile.

- Median %: 2.09% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.76%.

- High %: 6.2%.

- Mean %: 2.31%.