AMC


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-01-24 - 2022-01-25

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  • -19.66% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 67

  • Upside:Downside

    34.3% 65.7%

  • -30.35% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 48

  • Upside:Downside

    35.4% 64.6%

  • -44.99% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 22

  • Upside:Downside

    45.5% 54.5%

  • -54.03% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 12

  • Upside:Downside

    41.7% 58.3%

  • -56.73% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 16

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -52.63% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 12

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -77.94% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 14

  • Upside:Downside

    28.6% 71.4%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


13.64 - 14.44 14.44 - 15.23 15.23 - 16.02 16.02 - 16.81 16.81 - 17.6 17.6 - 18.4
2.53% 12.12% 44.44% 21.72% 7.07% 3.54%

Details

- Beyond the model: 8.59% to move lower than 13.64 or higher than 18.4.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓4.94%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓4.94% at 66.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.36% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.17%.

- High %: ∓24.47%.

- Mean %: ∓5.03%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.56% - 2.34% 2.34% - 4.69% 4.69% - 9.38% 9.38% - 18.76% 18.76% - 28.14%
0.0% 7.04% 51.76% 35.68% 5.53%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.0% to move lower than 1.56% or higher than 28.14%.

- Standard deviation range is 4.69% at 7.0th percentile.

- Median %: 8.36% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 3.16%.

- High %: 23.15%.

- Mean %: 9.76%.