AMC


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2019-09-24 - 2021-09-27

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  • -9.7% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 80

  • Upside:Downside

    41.2% 58.8%

  • -11.94% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 56

  • Upside:Downside

    42.9% 57.1%

  • -0.96% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 30

  • Upside:Downside

    56.7% 43.3%

  • 1.47% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 29

  • Upside:Downside

    37.9% 62.1%

  • 34.59% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 26

  • Upside:Downside

    61.5% 38.5%

  • 70.42% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 5

  • Upside:Downside

    40.0% 60.0%

  • -45.88% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 32

  • Upside:Downside

    34.4% 65.6%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


32.35 - 34.67 34.67 - 36.99 36.99 - 39.3 39.3 - 41.61 41.61 - 43.93 43.93 - 46.25
2.64% 14.34% 41.13% 29.43% 6.42% 2.26%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.77% to move lower than 32.35 or higher than 46.25.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓5.89%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓5.89% at 71.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.44% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.14%.

- High %: ∓51.41%.

- Mean %: ∓5.08%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.74% - 2.62% 2.62% - 5.23% 5.23% - 10.47% 10.47% - 20.93% 20.93% - 31.4%
1.88% 27.82% 49.62% 16.17% 4.14%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.38% to move lower than 1.74% or higher than 31.4%.

- Standard deviation range is 5.23% at 29.0th percentile.

- Median %: 7.27% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.99%.

- High %: 40.59%.

- Mean %: 8.44%.