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AMC


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-12-01 - 2022-12-02

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  • 10.41% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 143

  • Upside:Downside

    50.3% 49.7%

  • 19.34% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 79

  • Upside:Downside

    49.4% 50.6%

  • 21.8% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 55

  • Upside:Downside

    41.8% 58.2%

  • -22.2% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 51

  • Upside:Downside

    37.3% 62.7%

  • -27.65% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 16

  • Upside:Downside

    56.3% 43.8%

  • -37.21% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 13

  • Upside:Downside

    38.5% 61.5%

  • -75.91% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 177

  • Upside:Downside

    42.9% 57.1%

  • 63.76% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 2

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


6.8 - 7.29 7.29 - 7.78 7.78 - 8.27 8.27 - 8.76 8.76 - 9.25 9.25 - 9.74
1.47% 15.81% 36.76% 28.86% 9.38% 4.23%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.49% to move lower than 6.8 or higher than 9.74.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓5.93%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓5.93% at 66.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.83% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓44.91%.

- Mean %: ∓5.42%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.56% - 2.34% 2.34% - 4.68% 4.68% - 9.36% 9.36% - 18.71% 18.71% - 28.07%
0.0% 5.14% 60.73% 29.72% 3.3%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.1% to move lower than 1.56% or higher than 28.07%.

- Standard deviation range is 4.68% at 5.0th percentile.

- Median %: 8.23% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 3.1%.

- High %: 30.95%.

- Mean %: 9.48%.