AMC


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-06-29 - 2022-06-28

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  • 7.73% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 146

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • 4.78% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 111

  • Upside:Downside

    43.2% 56.8%

  • -1.69% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 87

  • Upside:Downside

    48.3% 51.7%

  • -16.43% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 40

  • Upside:Downside

    42.5% 57.5%

  • -30.89% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 11

  • Upside:Downside

    54.5% 45.5%

  • -45.43% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 8

  • Upside:Downside

    37.5% 62.5%

  • -78.07% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 103

  • Upside:Downside

    41.7% 58.3%

  • 37.94% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


11.23 - 11.95 11.95 - 12.66 12.66 - 13.38 13.38 - 14.1 14.1 - 14.81 14.81 - 15.53
1.55% 19.03% 33.98% 26.41% 9.9% 5.05%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.08% to move lower than 11.23 or higher than 15.53.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓5.35%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓5.35% at 61.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓4.08% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓44.91%.

- Mean %: ∓5.48%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.5% - 2.26% 2.26% - 4.51% 4.51% - 9.03% 9.03% - 18.05% 18.05% - 27.08%
0.0% 6.78% 55.81% 32.36% 4.46%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.58% to move lower than 1.5% or higher than 27.08%.

- Standard deviation range is 4.51% at 7.0th percentile.

- Median %: 8.06% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.4%.

- High %: 30.95%.

- Mean %: 9.11%.