AMD


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2019-10-22 - 2021-10-25

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  • 8.16% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 87

  • Upside:Downside

    51.7% 48.3%

  • 13.09% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 42

  • Upside:Downside

    40.5% 59.5%

  • 13.94% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 72

  • Upside:Downside

    47.2% 52.8%

  • 22.8% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 29

  • Upside:Downside

    34.5% 65.5%

  • 31.81% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 26

  • Upside:Downside

    38.5% 61.5%

  • 33.98% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 23

  • Upside:Downside

    43.5% 56.5%

  • -0.89% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 26

  • Upside:Downside

    42.3% 57.7%

  • 68.77% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 15

  • Upside:Downside

    26.7% 73.3%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


114.02 - 116.79 116.79 - 119.58 119.58 - 122.36 122.36 - 125.14 125.14 - 127.93 127.93 - 130.7
2.44% 16.77% 34.45% 21.34% 16.16% 3.66%

Details

- Beyond the model: 5.18% to move lower than 114.02 or higher than 130.7.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓2.27%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓2.27% at 56.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓1.95% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓16.5%.

- Mean %: ∓2.38%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.61% - 0.92% 0.92% - 1.84% 1.84% - 3.69% 3.69% - 7.37% 7.37% - 11.06%
0.0% 6.99% 41.64% 46.5% 4.86%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.0% to move lower than 0.61% or higher than 11.06%.

- Standard deviation range is 1.84% at 7.0th percentile.

- Median %: 3.75% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.27%.

- High %: 10.95%.

- Mean %: 3.99%.