APVO


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2019-11-25 - 2021-11-26

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  • 24.95% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 84

  • Upside:Downside

    35.7% 64.3%

  • 0.62% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 408

  • Upside:Downside

    43.1% 56.9%

  • -9.36% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 298

  • Upside:Downside

    46.0% 54.0%

  • -20.4% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 187

  • Upside:Downside

    43.9% 56.1%

  • -32.31% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 106

  • Upside:Downside

    47.2% 52.8%

  • -41.31% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 41

  • Upside:Downside

    39.0% 61.0%

  • -74.74% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 156

  • Upside:Downside

    46.2% 53.8%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


10.23 - 11.18 11.18 - 12.12 12.12 - 13.07 13.07 - 14.02 14.02 - 14.96 14.96 - 15.91
0.39% 6.37% 49.81% 36.99% 4.58% 0.7%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.17% to move lower than 10.23 or higher than 15.91.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓7.24%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓7.24% at 87.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓2.54% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓51.2%.

- Mean %: ∓4.0%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.63% - 2.44% 2.44% - 4.88% 4.88% - 9.76% 9.76% - 19.52% 19.52% - 29.28%
1.48% 27.64% 49.84% 18.32% 0.93%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.79% to move lower than 1.63% or higher than 29.28%.

- Standard deviation range is 4.88% at 30.0th percentile.

- Median %: 6.24% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.13%.

- High %: 50.88%.

- Mean %: 7.43%.