AVCT


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-01-27 - 2022-01-26

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  • -26.42% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 24

  • Upside:Downside

    41.7% 58.3%

  • -40.0% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 7

  • Upside:Downside

    28.6% 71.4%

  • -33.9% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 51

  • Upside:Downside

    45.1% 54.9%

  • -47.77% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 8

  • Upside:Downside

    62.5% 37.5%

  • -63.44% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 14

  • Upside:Downside

    42.9% 57.1%

  • -70.75% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 8

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -87.32% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 41

  • Upside:Downside

    41.5% 58.5%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.77 - 0.91 0.91 - 1.04 1.04 - 1.17 1.17 - 1.3 1.3 - 1.43 1.43 - 1.57
1.24% 5.59% 55.9% 30.43% 1.24% 0.62%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.97% to move lower than 0.77 or higher than 1.57.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓11.28%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓11.28% at 86.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓4.11% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.33%.

- High %: ∓35.81%.

- Mean %: ∓7.18%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.46% - 3.69% 3.69% - 7.38% 7.38% - 14.76% 14.76% - 29.53% 29.53% - 44.29%
6.17% 27.78% 42.59% 15.43% 4.94%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.09% to move lower than 2.46% or higher than 44.29%.

- Standard deviation range is 7.38% at 36.0th percentile.

- Median %: 9.22% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.86%.

- High %: 38.98%.

- Mean %: 11.1%.