AVXL


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-12-01 - 2022-12-02

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  • 11.09% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 409

  • Upside:Downside

    47.7% 52.3%

  • 1.02% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 421

  • Upside:Downside

    48.7% 51.3%

  • 5.49% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 285

  • Upside:Downside

    45.6% 54.4%

  • 9.36% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 253

  • Upside:Downside

    48.6% 51.4%

  • 15.06% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 169

  • Upside:Downside

    46.7% 53.3%

  • 12.67% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 115

  • Upside:Downside

    49.6% 50.4%

  • -41.11% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 146

  • Upside:Downside

    42.5% 57.5%

  • 67.18% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 10

  • Upside:Downside

    40.0% 60.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


10.57 - 11.02 11.02 - 11.47 11.47 - 11.92 11.92 - 12.37 12.37 - 12.82 12.82 - 13.27
2.97% 14.65% 34.64% 28.69% 11.95% 4.02%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.08% to move lower than 10.57 or higher than 13.27.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓3.78%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓3.78% at 63.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓2.71% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓37.85%.

- Mean %: ∓3.73%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.06% - 1.58% 1.58% - 3.17% 3.17% - 6.33% 6.33% - 12.67% 12.67% - 19.0%
0.0% 4.24% 55.42% 37.2% 2.09%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.05% to move lower than 1.06% or higher than 19.0%.

- Standard deviation range is 3.17% at 4.0th percentile.

- Median %: 5.7% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.35%.

- High %: 29.02%.

- Mean %: 6.46%.