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CEI


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-05-18 - 2022-05-17

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  • 4.23% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 153

  • Upside:Downside

    38.6% 61.4%

  • -5.13% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 125

  • Upside:Downside

    33.6% 66.4%

  • -12.94% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 43

  • Upside:Downside

    53.5% 46.5%

  • -2.63% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 52

  • Upside:Downside

    42.3% 57.7%

  • -19.57% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 22

  • Upside:Downside

    27.3% 72.7%

  • -25.25% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 33

  • Upside:Downside

    30.3% 69.7%

  • -84.74% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 165

  • Upside:Downside

    45.5% 54.5%

  • 124.24% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.52 - 0.6 0.6 - 0.67 0.67 - 0.74 0.74 - 0.81 0.81 - 0.88 0.88 - 0.96
0.0% 4.15% 57.64% 29.4% 4.32% 1.66%

Details

- Beyond the model: 2.82% to move lower than 0.52 or higher than 0.96.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓9.71%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓9.71% at 87.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.91% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.16%.

- High %: ∓53.85%.

- Mean %: ∓6.26%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.07% - 3.1% 3.1% - 6.2% 6.2% - 12.4% 12.4% - 24.79% 24.79% - 37.19%
1.82% 29.19% 50.08% 15.09% 2.99%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.83% to move lower than 2.07% or higher than 37.19%.

- Standard deviation range is 6.2% at 31.0th percentile.

- Median %: 8.01% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.65%.

- High %: 51.05%.

- Mean %: 9.54%.