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CEI


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2019-10-22 - 2021-10-25

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  • -4.64% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 348

  • Upside:Downside

    41.4% 58.6%

  • -29.06% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 143

  • Upside:Downside

    40.6% 59.4%

  • 3.6% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 144

  • Upside:Downside

    47.2% 52.8%

  • 45.45% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 48

  • Upside:Downside

    47.9% 52.1%

  • 58.24% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 28

  • Upside:Downside

    42.9% 57.1%

  • 37.14% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 45

  • Upside:Downside

    46.7% 53.3%

  • -70.31% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 186

  • Upside:Downside

    44.1% 55.9%

  • 336.36% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 3

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


1.02 - 1.16 1.16 - 1.3 1.3 - 1.44 1.44 - 1.58 1.58 - 1.72 1.72 - 1.86
0.42% 5.98% 52.15% 31.9% 4.3% 1.99%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.25% to move lower than 1.02 or higher than 1.86.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓9.67%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓9.67% at 84.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.8% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.13%.

- High %: ∓54.27%.

- Mean %: ∓6.39%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.48% - 3.73% 3.73% - 7.45% 7.45% - 14.9% 14.9% - 29.81% 29.81% - 44.71%
2.1% 35.22% 43.82% 15.09% 3.04%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.73% to move lower than 2.48% or higher than 44.71%.

- Standard deviation range is 7.45% at 37.0th percentile.

- Median %: 8.71% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.65%.

- High %: 51.05%.

- Mean %: 10.92%.