COIN


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2021-04-14 - 2022-05-17

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  • -19.54% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 41

  • Upside:Downside

    41.5% 58.5%

  • -35.74% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    66.7% 33.3%

  • -52.54% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -60.94% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 18

  • Upside:Downside

    61.1% 38.9%

  • -68.18% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 9

  • Upside:Downside

    55.6% 44.4%

  • -69.23% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 7

  • Upside:Downside

    42.9% 57.1%

  • -81.02% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    33.3% 66.7%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


59.91 - 63.27 63.27 - 66.63 66.63 - 70.0 70.0 - 73.37 73.37 - 76.73 76.73 - 80.09
3.0% 13.0% 33.0% 30.0% 10.0% 5.0%

Details

- Beyond the model: 6.0% to move lower than 59.91 or higher than 80.09.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓4.81%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓4.81% at 62.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓4.22% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓26.4%.

- Mean %: ∓5.6%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.4% - 2.11% 2.11% - 4.21% 4.21% - 8.43% 8.43% - 16.85% 16.85% - 25.28%
0.0% 8.91% 51.49% 36.63% 1.98%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.99% to move lower than 1.4% or higher than 25.28%.

- Standard deviation range is 4.21% at 8.0th percentile.

- Median %: 7.5% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 3.01%.

- High %: 32.29%.

- Mean %: 8.49%.