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COSM


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2021-01-11 - 2022-12-23

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  • -6.29% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 376

  • Upside:Downside

    45.5% 54.5%

  • -35.92% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 71

  • Upside:Downside

    36.6% 63.4%

  • -31.35% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 102

  • Upside:Downside

    46.1% 53.9%

  • -29.68% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 126

  • Upside:Downside

    51.6% 48.4%

  • -43.52% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 65

  • Upside:Downside

    52.3% 47.7%

  • -67.8% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 12

  • Upside:Downside

    33.3% 66.7%

  • -95.29% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 187

  • Upside:Downside

    43.9% 56.1%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


3.04 - 3.57 3.57 - 4.09 4.09 - 4.62 4.62 - 5.15 5.15 - 5.67 5.67 - 6.2
1.27% 4.86% 51.43% 33.69% 5.17% 1.8%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.8% to move lower than 3.04 or higher than 6.2.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓11.4%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓11.4% at 85.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓4.12% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.17%.

- High %: ∓50.41%.

- Mean %: ∓6.78%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


3.12% - 4.69% 4.69% - 9.37% 9.37% - 18.75% 18.75% - 37.49% 37.49% - 56.24%
7.81% 37.76% 34.07% 13.5% 2.32%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.54% to move lower than 3.12% or higher than 56.24%.

- Standard deviation range is 9.37% at 50.0th percentile.

- Median %: 9.41% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.2%.

- High %: 54.55%.

- Mean %: 12.22%.