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DBGI


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2021-05-14 - 2022-12-23

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  • -5.22% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 232

  • Upside:Downside

    48.3% 51.7%

  • -4.75% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 157

  • Upside:Downside

    45.2% 54.8%

  • -20.79% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 79

  • Upside:Downside

    34.2% 65.8%

  • -53.14% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 23

  • Upside:Downside

    30.4% 69.6%

  • -65.77% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 5

  • Upside:Downside

    40.0% 60.0%

  • -85.84% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 7

  • Upside:Downside

    71.4% 28.6%

  • -98.38% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 164

  • Upside:Downside

    39.6% 60.4%

  • 18.69% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 22

  • Upside:Downside

    54.5% 45.5%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


3.03 - 3.29 3.29 - 3.55 3.55 - 3.81 3.81 - 4.07 4.07 - 4.33 4.33 - 4.59
2.01% 10.47% 43.62% 26.4% 9.47% 2.44%

Details

- Beyond the model: 5.6% to move lower than 3.03 or higher than 4.59.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓6.86%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓6.86% at 70.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.98% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓47.37%.

- Mean %: ∓6.14%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.46% - 3.69% 3.69% - 7.37% 7.37% - 14.75% 14.75% - 29.49% 29.49% - 44.24%
2.29% 31.38% 43.41% 19.05% 3.44%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.43% to move lower than 2.46% or higher than 44.24%.

- Standard deviation range is 7.37% at 34.0th percentile.

- Median %: 9.15% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.67%.

- High %: 45.78%.

- Mean %: 11.45%.