DWAC


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2021-09-30 - 2022-12-02

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  • 0.49% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 141

  • Upside:Downside

    42.6% 57.4%

  • -1.51% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 75

  • Upside:Downside

    46.7% 53.3%

  • 17.79% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 25

  • Upside:Downside

    64.0% 36.0%

  • -3.39% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 10

  • Upside:Downside

    60.0% 40.0%

  • -19.31% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 8

  • Upside:Downside

    25.0% 75.0%

  • N/A from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • -77.64% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 17

  • Upside:Downside

    52.9% 47.1%

  • 49.87% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 3

  • Upside:Downside

    100.0% 0.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


19.58 - 20.65 20.65 - 21.71 21.71 - 22.78 22.78 - 23.85 23.85 - 24.91 24.91 - 25.98
2.8% 4.55% 43.36% 32.17% 8.39% 3.85%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.9% to move lower than 19.58 or higher than 25.98.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓4.68%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓4.68% at 75.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓2.42% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.15%.

- High %: ∓28.1%.

- Mean %: ∓5.4%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.08% - 3.11% 3.11% - 6.23% 6.23% - 12.45% 12.45% - 24.91% 24.91% - 37.36%
9.06% 40.77% 34.49% 9.06% 1.74%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.88% to move lower than 2.08% or higher than 37.36%.

- Standard deviation range is 6.23% at 54.0th percentile.

- Median %: 5.62% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.15%.

- High %: 30.87%.

- Mean %: 7.29%.