ENDP


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-08-10 - 2022-08-10

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  • -25.86% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 64

  • Upside:Downside

    39.1% 60.9%

  • -14.0% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 205

  • Upside:Downside

    48.3% 51.7%

  • -8.51% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 142

  • Upside:Downside

    47.9% 52.1%

  • -63.87% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 39

  • Upside:Downside

    48.7% 51.3%

  • -76.11% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 34

  • Upside:Downside

    41.2% 58.8%

  • -83.59% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 27

  • Upside:Downside

    48.1% 51.9%

  • -93.91% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 68

  • Upside:Downside

    48.5% 51.5%

  • 53.57% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    66.7% 33.3%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.33 - 0.36 0.36 - 0.4 0.4 - 0.43 0.43 - 0.46 0.46 - 0.5 0.5 - 0.53
0.84% 5.73% 46.37% 35.92% 6.75% 1.35%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.04% to move lower than 0.33 or higher than 0.53.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓7.75%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓7.75% at 82.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.43% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.17%.

- High %: ∓46.54%.

- Mean %: ∓5.36%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.15% - 3.23% 3.23% - 6.46% 6.46% - 12.92% 12.92% - 25.84% 25.84% - 38.77%
2.19% 42.42% 43.6% 9.76% 1.01%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.01% to move lower than 2.15% or higher than 38.77%.

- Standard deviation range is 6.46% at 44.0th percentile.

- Median %: 6.95% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.19%.

- High %: 45.13%.

- Mean %: 8.61%.