FAMI


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2019-10-22 - 2021-10-25

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  • -8.82% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 231

  • Upside:Downside

    53.2% 46.8%

  • -8.82% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 227

  • Upside:Downside

    53.3% 46.7%

  • -11.43% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 139

  • Upside:Downside

    51.1% 48.9%

  • -20.51% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 45

  • Upside:Downside

    48.9% 51.1%

  • -39.22% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 4

  • Upside:Downside

    25.0% 75.0%

  • -58.11% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%

  • -87.45% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 118

  • Upside:Downside

    46.6% 53.4%

  • 58.57% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 5

  • Upside:Downside

    40.0% 60.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.26 - 0.27 0.27 - 0.29 0.29 - 0.31 0.31 - 0.33 0.33 - 0.35 0.35 - 0.36
1.16% 8.23% 40.36% 39.2% 6.94% 1.67%

Details

- Beyond the model: 2.44% to move lower than 0.26 or higher than 0.36.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓5.72%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓5.72% at 79.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓2.8% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓54.74%.

- Mean %: ∓4.17%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.95% - 2.93% 2.93% - 5.86% 5.86% - 11.71% 11.71% - 23.43% 23.43% - 35.14%
3.72% 34.53% 41.98% 17.07% 1.93%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.77% to move lower than 1.95% or higher than 35.14%.

- Standard deviation range is 5.86% at 38.0th percentile.

- Median %: 6.92% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.01%.

- High %: 47.08%.

- Mean %: 8.72%.