FCEL


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2019-11-25 - 2021-11-26

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  • -11.92% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 143

  • Upside:Downside

    47.6% 52.4%

  • -8.59% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 150

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • 10.37% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 93

  • Upside:Downside

    54.8% 45.2%

  • 22.63% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 70

  • Upside:Downside

    51.4% 48.6%

  • 12.74% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 48

  • Upside:Downside

    37.5% 62.5%

  • -7.64% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 42

  • Upside:Downside

    45.2% 54.8%

  • -69.63% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 106

  • Upside:Downside

    40.6% 59.4%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


7.76 - 8.15 8.15 - 8.55 8.55 - 8.94 8.94 - 9.33 9.33 - 9.73 9.73 - 10.12
4.1% 15.63% 33.23% 24.73% 12.75% 4.55%

Details

- Beyond the model: 5.01% to move lower than 7.76 or higher than 10.12.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓4.4%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓4.4% at 58.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.69% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓31.4%.

- Mean %: ∓4.77%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.15% - 1.73% 1.73% - 3.46% 3.46% - 6.93% 6.93% - 13.86% 13.86% - 20.78%
0.0% 0.91% 38.48% 54.09% 5.61%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.91% to move lower than 1.15% or higher than 20.78%.

- Standard deviation range is 3.46% at 1.0th percentile.

- Median %: 7.56% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 3.01%.

- High %: 25.47%.

- Mean %: 8.21%.