GEVO


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2019-09-24 - 2021-09-27

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  • 11.28% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 197

  • Upside:Downside

    44.2% 55.8%

  • 12.48% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 137

  • Upside:Downside

    48.9% 51.1%

  • 20.46% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 87

  • Upside:Downside

    43.7% 56.3%

  • 10.27% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 63

  • Upside:Downside

    41.3% 58.7%

  • 1.81% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 82

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • 0.0% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 61

  • Upside:Downside

    42.6% 57.4%

  • -53.11% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 147

  • Upside:Downside

    45.6% 54.4%

  • 753.8% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


5.86 - 6.34 6.34 - 6.82 6.82 - 7.3 7.3 - 7.78 7.78 - 8.26 8.26 - 8.74
1.92% 11.88% 42.78% 28.48% 9.45% 3.19%

Details

- Beyond the model: 2.3% to move lower than 5.86 or higher than 8.74.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓6.58%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓6.58% at 71.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.82% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.16%.

- High %: ∓37.13%.

- Mean %: ∓5.48%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.58% - 2.37% 2.37% - 4.75% 4.75% - 9.5% 9.5% - 18.99% 18.99% - 28.49%
0.26% 13.39% 51.66% 31.12% 2.93%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.64% to move lower than 1.58% or higher than 28.49%.

- Standard deviation range is 4.75% at 14.0th percentile.

- Median %: 7.56% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.87%.

- High %: 34.88%.

- Mean %: 8.83%.