LCID


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-09-18 - 2021-11-26

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  • 3.4% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 147

  • Upside:Downside

    55.1% 44.9%

  • 16.07% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 22

  • Upside:Downside

    63.6% 36.4%

  • 58.8% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 9

  • Upside:Downside

    55.6% 44.4%

  • N/A from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • N/A from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • N/A from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • -20.26% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 4

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


41.87 - 45.15 45.15 - 48.44 48.44 - 51.72 51.72 - 55.0 55.0 - 58.29 58.29 - 61.57
0.0% 2.15% 48.92% 33.87% 9.14% 2.15%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.76% to move lower than 41.87 or higher than 61.57.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓6.35%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓6.35% at 82.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓1.49% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.2%.

- High %: ∓38.63%.

- Mean %: ∓3.86%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.96% - 2.94% 2.94% - 5.88% 5.88% - 11.76% 11.76% - 23.52% 23.52% - 35.28%
1.6% 23.53% 26.74% 9.63% 2.14%

Details

- Beyond the model: 36.36% to move lower than 1.96% or higher than 35.28%.

- Standard deviation range is 5.88% at 61.0th percentile.

- Median %: 4.47% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.2%.

- High %: 33.6%.

- Mean %: 5.59%.