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META


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-06-29 - 2022-06-28

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  • -1.62% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 424

  • Upside:Downside

    51.2% 48.8%

  • -9.38% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 100

  • Upside:Downside

    60.0% 40.0%

  • -15.16% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 38

  • Upside:Downside

    60.5% 39.5%

  • -20.7% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 36

  • Upside:Downside

    36.1% 63.9%

  • -34.16% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 38

  • Upside:Downside

    47.4% 52.6%

  • -40.03% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 27

  • Upside:Downside

    37.0% 63.0%

  • -58.19% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 16

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • 4.17% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 15

  • Upside:Downside

    26.7% 73.3%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


150.86 - 154.14 154.14 - 157.4 157.4 - 160.68 160.68 - 163.96 163.96 - 167.22 167.22 - 170.5
5.98% 12.96% 27.92% 31.91% 12.11% 4.27%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.84% to move lower than 150.86 or higher than 170.5.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓2.04%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓2.04% at 60.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓1.55% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓17.59%.

- Mean %: ∓2.13%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.51% - 0.76% 0.76% - 1.52% 1.52% - 3.04% 3.04% - 6.08% 6.08% - 9.13%
0.0% 9.82% 47.51% 35.14% 7.54%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.0% to move lower than 0.51% or higher than 9.13%.

- Standard deviation range is 1.52% at 10.0th percentile.

- Median %: 2.78% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.86%.

- High %: 8.57%.

- Mean %: 3.17%.