METX


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-03-31 - 2021-11-26

Get extensive dates and forecast more by upgrading:

Register

  • -17.39% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 171

  • Upside:Downside

    45.0% 55.0%

  • -26.92% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 118

  • Upside:Downside

    50.8% 49.2%

  • -7.32% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 78

  • Upside:Downside

    48.7% 51.3%

  • -22.45% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 54

  • Upside:Downside

    46.3% 53.7%

  • -47.95% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 35

  • Upside:Downside

    37.1% 62.9%

  • N/A from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • -91.1% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 166

  • Upside:Downside

    45.8% 54.2%

  • 35.71% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 7

  • Upside:Downside

    28.6% 71.4%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.3 - 0.33 0.33 - 0.35 0.35 - 0.38 0.38 - 0.41 0.41 - 0.43 0.43 - 0.46
1.1% 11.32% 42.45% 34.75% 4.72% 2.52%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.14% to move lower than 0.3 or higher than 0.46.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓7.04%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓7.04% at 77.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.7% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓44.36%.

- Mean %: ∓5.44%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.93% - 2.9% 2.9% - 5.8% 5.8% - 11.6% 11.6% - 23.2% 23.2% - 34.81%
3.3% 21.04% 48.98% 21.82% 3.61%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.26% to move lower than 1.93% or higher than 34.81%.

- Standard deviation range is 5.8% at 25.0th percentile.

- Median %: 7.82% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.11%.

- High %: 34.04%.

- Mean %: 9.39%.