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MMAT


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2021-01-11 - 2022-12-23

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  • 0.0% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 224

  • Upside:Downside

    42.0% 58.0%

  • -8.94% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 123

  • Upside:Downside

    35.0% 65.0%

  • -24.32% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 80

  • Upside:Downside

    36.2% 63.7%

  • -1.75% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 67

  • Upside:Downside

    38.8% 61.2%

  • -1.75% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 45

  • Upside:Downside

    46.7% 53.3%

  • -9.68% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 18

  • Upside:Downside

    38.9% 61.1%

  • -55.91% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 28

  • Upside:Downside

    39.3% 60.7%

  • 77.78% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 5

  • Upside:Downside

    60.0% 40.0%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.96 - 1.01 1.01 - 1.07 1.07 - 1.12 1.12 - 1.17 1.17 - 1.23 1.23 - 1.28
2.34% 16.56% 44.48% 22.24% 7.53% 3.18%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.68% to move lower than 0.96 or higher than 1.28.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓4.76%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓4.76% at 67.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.53% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.2%.

- High %: ∓38.74%.

- Mean %: ∓4.61%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.4% - 2.1% 2.1% - 4.19% 4.19% - 8.38% 8.38% - 16.77% 16.77% - 25.15%
0.0% 7.35% 53.92% 35.89% 1.84%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.0% to move lower than 1.4% or higher than 25.15%.

- Standard deviation range is 4.19% at 7.0th percentile.

- Median %: 7.29% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.28%.

- High %: 45.22%.

- Mean %: 8.12%.