MMAT


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-12-01 - 2022-12-02

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  • -2.65% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 213

  • Upside:Downside

    40.4% 59.6%

  • 6.98% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 98

  • Upside:Downside

    52.0% 48.0%

  • 54.62% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 11

  • Upside:Downside

    54.5% 45.5%

  • N/A from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • N/A from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • 42.64% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%

  • -47.85% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 4

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%

  • 192.06% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    100.0% 0.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


1.43 - 1.57 1.57 - 1.7 1.7 - 1.84 1.84 - 1.98 1.98 - 2.11 2.11 - 2.25
1.19% 8.06% 49.55% 28.06% 6.57% 3.58%

Details

- Beyond the model: 2.99% to move lower than 1.43 or higher than 2.25.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓7.43%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓7.43% at 77.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.99% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.2%.

- High %: ∓50.53%.

- Mean %: ∓5.83%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.84% - 2.76% 2.76% - 5.51% 5.51% - 11.03% 11.03% - 22.05% 22.05% - 33.08%
0.3% 24.11% 52.98% 19.35% 2.38%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.89% to move lower than 1.84% or higher than 33.08%.

- Standard deviation range is 5.51% at 24.0th percentile.

- Median %: 7.57% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.28%.

- High %: 45.22%.

- Mean %: 9.04%.