MRNA


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-01-24 - 2022-01-25

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  • -21.31% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 51

  • Upside:Downside

    49.0% 51.0%

  • -28.94% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 37

  • Upside:Downside

    51.4% 48.6%

  • -39.44% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 13

  • Upside:Downside

    61.5% 38.5%

  • -50.19% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 18

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -51.25% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -45.35% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%

  • -69.34% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 5

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


136.37 - 141.76 141.76 - 147.16 147.16 - 152.54 152.54 - 157.92 157.92 - 163.32 163.32 - 168.71
7.25% 18.12% 26.81% 27.54% 13.77% 3.62%

Details

- Beyond the model: 2.9% to move lower than 136.37 or higher than 168.71.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓3.53%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓3.53% at 54.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.33% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.34%.

- High %: ∓24.37%.

- Mean %: ∓4.11%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.06% - 1.59% 1.59% - 3.17% 3.17% - 6.34% 6.34% - 12.68% 12.68% - 19.03%
0.0% 0.72% 46.04% 46.04% 6.47%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.72% to move lower than 1.06% or higher than 19.03%.

- Standard deviation range is 3.17% at 0.0th percentile.

- Median %: 6.58% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 3.17%.

- High %: 20.07%.

- Mean %: 7.34%.