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MSFT


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-08-10 - 2022-08-10

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  • 3.68% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 69

  • Upside:Downside

    55.1% 44.9%

  • 7.83% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 8

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • 9.55% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 19

  • Upside:Downside

    31.6% 68.4%

  • 5.62% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 40

  • Upside:Downside

    47.5% 52.5%

  • 2.46% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 2

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%

  • -1.88% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 9

  • Upside:Downside

    66.7% 33.3%

  • -17.26% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 10

  • Upside:Downside

    20.0% 80.0%

  • 19.79% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 17

  • Upside:Downside

    47.1% 52.9%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


278.71 - 282.24 282.24 - 285.77 285.77 - 289.3 289.3 - 292.83 292.83 - 296.36 296.36 - 299.89
6.04% 8.79% 34.07% 25.27% 11.54% 6.59%

Details

- Beyond the model: 7.69% to move lower than 278.71 or higher than 299.89.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓1.22%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓1.22% at 59.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓0.92% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓6.19%.

- Mean %: ∓1.37%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.36% - 0.54% 0.54% - 1.07% 1.07% - 2.14% 2.14% - 4.29% 4.29% - 6.43%
0.0% 10.93% 49.18% 33.88% 6.01%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.0% to move lower than 0.36% or higher than 6.43%.

- Standard deviation range is 1.07% at 10.0th percentile.

- Median %: 1.86% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.67%.

- High %: 6.26%.

- Mean %: 2.15%.