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MULN


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-12-01 - 2022-12-02

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  • -4.55% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 171

  • Upside:Downside

    45.0% 55.0%

  • -19.23% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 45

  • Upside:Downside

    51.1% 48.9%

  • -34.38% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 36

  • Upside:Downside

    52.8% 47.2%

  • -61.82% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 20

  • Upside:Downside

    45.0% 55.0%

  • -72.37% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    33.3% 66.7%

  • -79.41% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 4

  • Upside:Downside

    25.0% 75.0%

  • -97.2% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 145

  • Upside:Downside

    37.9% 62.1%

  • 16.09% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 10

  • Upside:Downside

    40.0% 60.0%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.15 - 0.17 0.17 - 0.19 0.19 - 0.21 0.21 - 0.23 0.23 - 0.25 0.25 - 0.27
0.67% 7.19% 50.56% 35.51% 3.15% 0.67%

Details

- Beyond the model: 2.25% to move lower than 0.15 or higher than 0.27.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓9.35%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓9.35% at 86.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓4.2% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.13%.

- High %: ∓44.9%.

- Mean %: ∓6.14%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.08% - 3.12% 3.12% - 6.24% 6.24% - 12.48% 12.48% - 24.96% 24.96% - 37.45%
2.02% 25.34% 48.43% 21.08% 2.24%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.9% to move lower than 2.08% or higher than 37.45%.

- Standard deviation range is 6.24% at 27.0th percentile.

- Median %: 8.49% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.18%.

- High %: 51.25%.

- Mean %: 10.15%.