MULN


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-05-18 - 2022-05-17

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  • 3.64% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 342

  • Upside:Downside

    44.2% 55.8%

  • -8.8% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 237

  • Upside:Downside

    47.3% 52.7%

  • -39.68% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 50

  • Upside:Downside

    52.0% 48.0%

  • -53.85% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 40

  • Upside:Downside

    37.5% 62.5%

  • -74.55% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 13

  • Upside:Downside

    38.5% 61.5%

  • -80.38% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 14

  • Upside:Downside

    42.9% 57.1%

  • -92.83% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 80

  • Upside:Downside

    35.0% 65.0%

  • 119.23% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.85 - 0.95 0.95 - 1.04 1.04 - 1.14 1.14 - 1.24 1.24 - 1.33 1.33 - 1.43
0.63% 7.97% 47.72% 33.16% 6.46% 1.14%

Details

- Beyond the model: 2.91% to move lower than 0.85 or higher than 1.43.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓8.55%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓8.55% at 81.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.74% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.13%.

- High %: ∓45.72%.

- Mean %: ∓5.85%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.38% - 3.57% 3.57% - 7.14% 7.14% - 14.28% 14.28% - 28.57% 28.57% - 42.85%
4.68% 36.54% 42.1% 13.4% 2.15%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.14% to move lower than 2.38% or higher than 42.85%.

- Standard deviation range is 7.14% at 41.0th percentile.

- Median %: 7.97% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.96%.

- High %: 51.31%.

- Mean %: 10.11%.