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MULN


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2021-01-11 - 2022-12-23

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  • 23.33% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 28

  • Upside:Downside

    46.4% 53.6%

  • 37.04% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 14

  • Upside:Downside

    35.7% 64.3%

  • 32.14% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 19

  • Upside:Downside

    15.8% 84.2%

  • -2.63% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 57

  • Upside:Downside

    47.4% 52.6%

  • -39.34% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 22

  • Upside:Downside

    45.5% 54.5%

  • -57.47% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 4

  • Upside:Downside

    75.0% 25.0%

  • -92.59% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 216

  • Upside:Downside

    39.4% 60.6%

  • 105.56% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 8

  • Upside:Downside

    62.5% 37.5%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.25 - 0.29 0.29 - 0.33 0.33 - 0.37 0.37 - 0.41 0.41 - 0.45 0.45 - 0.49
1.06% 6.91% 51.33% 32.18% 2.93% 2.93%

Details

- Beyond the model: 2.66% to move lower than 0.25 or higher than 0.49.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓10.49%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓10.49% at 83.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓4.94% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.13%.

- High %: ∓44.9%.

- Mean %: ∓7.6%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.53% - 3.79% 3.79% - 7.58% 7.58% - 15.15% 15.15% - 30.3% 30.3% - 45.46%
2.12% 26.53% 40.32% 28.65% 1.33%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.06% to move lower than 2.53% or higher than 45.46%.

- Standard deviation range is 7.58% at 29.0th percentile.

- Median %: 10.91% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.96%.

- High %: 51.28%.

- Mean %: 12.58%.