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MVIS


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-08-10 - 2022-08-10

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  • 8.21% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 216

  • Upside:Downside

    49.5% 50.5%

  • 11.61% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 160

  • Upside:Downside

    47.5% 52.5%

  • 28.57% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 57

  • Upside:Downside

    54.4% 45.6%

  • 39.66% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 16

  • Upside:Downside

    37.5% 62.5%

  • 43.18% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 35

  • Upside:Downside

    42.9% 57.1%

  • 18.13% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 35

  • Upside:Downside

    40.0% 60.0%

  • -65.24% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 66

  • Upside:Downside

    47.0% 53.0%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


4.75 - 5.06 5.06 - 5.36 5.36 - 5.67 5.67 - 5.98 5.98 - 6.28 6.28 - 6.59
2.87% 12.65% 36.59% 29.68% 10.29% 4.22%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.71% to move lower than 4.75 or higher than 6.59.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓5.39%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓5.39% at 66.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.79% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓50.69%.

- Mean %: ∓5.18%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.42% - 2.13% 2.13% - 4.26% 4.26% - 8.52% 8.52% - 17.03% 17.03% - 25.55%
0.34% 5.05% 48.82% 40.57% 4.55%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.67% to move lower than 1.42% or higher than 25.55%.

- Standard deviation range is 4.26% at 5.0th percentile.

- Median %: 8.06% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.07%.

- High %: 34.02%.

- Mean %: 9.07%.