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Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-01-24 - 2022-01-25

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  • -18.42% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 31

  • Upside:Downside

    51.6% 48.4%

  • -20.33% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 32

  • Upside:Downside

    59.4% 40.6%

  • -29.01% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 38

  • Upside:Downside

    44.7% 55.3%

  • -33.57% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 31

  • Upside:Downside

    64.5% 35.5%

  • -38.05% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 17

  • Upside:Downside

    47.1% 52.9%

  • -38.34% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 12

  • Upside:Downside

    41.7% 58.3%

  • -63.17% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 4

  • Upside:Downside

    75.0% 25.0%

  • 2.99% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 5

  • Upside:Downside

    80.0% 20.0%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


21.18 - 22.05 22.05 - 22.92 22.92 - 23.79 23.79 - 24.66 24.66 - 25.53 25.53 - 26.4
4.49% 17.42% 25.28% 23.6% 20.79% 1.69%

Details

- Beyond the model: 6.74% to move lower than 21.18 or higher than 26.4.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓3.66%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓3.66% at 49.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.67% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.23%.

- High %: ∓17.44%.

- Mean %: ∓4.36%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.12% - 1.69% 1.69% - 3.37% 3.37% - 6.75% 6.75% - 13.49% 13.49% - 20.24%
0.0% 6.15% 50.28% 37.43% 6.15%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.0% to move lower than 1.12% or higher than 20.24%.

- Standard deviation range is 3.37% at 6.0th percentile.

- Median %: 6.47% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.38%.

- High %: 19.96%.

- Mean %: 7.33%.