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Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2021-01-11 - 2022-12-23

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  • 9.24% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 114

  • Upside:Downside

    39.5% 60.5%

  • 1.72% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 188

  • Upside:Downside

    41.0% 59.0%

  • 2.18% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 114

  • Upside:Downside

    46.5% 53.5%

  • -19.03% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 53

  • Upside:Downside

    47.2% 52.8%

  • -30.29% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 39

  • Upside:Downside

    35.9% 64.1%

  • -32.15% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 45

  • Upside:Downside

    55.6% 44.4%

  • -64.75% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 132

  • Upside:Downside

    44.7% 55.3%

  • 34.09% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 15

  • Upside:Downside

    66.7% 33.3%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


10.25 - 10.58 10.58 - 10.9 10.9 - 11.23 11.23 - 11.56 11.56 - 11.88 11.88 - 12.21
7.34% 18.08% 28.25% 21.47% 13.28% 6.5%

Details

- Beyond the model: 5.08% to move lower than 10.25 or higher than 12.21.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓2.9%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓2.9% at 50.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓2.96% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓21.71%.

- Mean %: ∓3.57%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.73% - 1.1% 1.1% - 2.2% 2.2% - 4.4% 4.4% - 8.81% 8.81% - 13.21%
0.0% 0.85% 23.13% 65.02% 9.73%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.27% to move lower than 0.73% or higher than 13.21%.

- Standard deviation range is 2.2% at 1.0th percentile.

- Median %: 5.5% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.6%.

- High %: 15.13%.

- Mean %: 5.93%.