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Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-06-29 - 2022-06-28

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  • 6.48% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 208

  • Upside:Downside

    48.6% 51.4%

  • 13.33% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 99

  • Upside:Downside

    47.5% 52.5%

  • 26.76% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 36

  • Upside:Downside

    47.2% 52.8%

  • 14.73% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 21

  • Upside:Downside

    23.8% 76.2%

  • -4.65% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 93

  • Upside:Downside

    49.5% 50.5%

  • -17.64% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 48

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -59.44% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 78

  • Upside:Downside

    38.5% 61.5%

  • 91.6% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    100.0% 0.0%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


20.32 - 21.0 21.0 - 21.68 21.68 - 22.36 22.36 - 23.04 23.04 - 23.72 23.72 - 24.4
5.24% 18.07% 29.39% 23.48% 12.67% 7.09%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.05% to move lower than 20.32 or higher than 24.4.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓3.05%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓3.05% at 53.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓2.85% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓22.57%.

- Mean %: ∓3.56%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.88% - 1.31% 1.31% - 2.63% 2.63% - 5.26% 5.26% - 10.51% 10.51% - 15.77%
0.0% 3.37% 46.71% 44.35% 4.38%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.18% to move lower than 0.88% or higher than 15.77%.

- Standard deviation range is 2.63% at 3.0th percentile.

- Median %: 5.26% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.6%.

- High %: 19.94%.

- Mean %: 5.89%.