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Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-12-01 - 2022-12-02

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  • 22.35% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 18

  • Upside:Downside

    38.9% 61.1%

  • 22.23% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 32

  • Upside:Downside

    37.5% 62.5%

  • 7.44% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 142

  • Upside:Downside

    47.9% 52.1%

  • -18.28% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 103

  • Upside:Downside

    45.6% 54.4%

  • -22.02% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 67

  • Upside:Downside

    52.2% 47.8%

  • -25.51% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 115

  • Upside:Downside

    47.0% 53.0%

  • -66.89% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 175

  • Upside:Downside

    50.3% 49.7%

  • 56.9% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 7

  • Upside:Downside

    57.1% 42.9%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


11.86 - 12.29 12.29 - 12.71 12.71 - 13.14 13.14 - 13.57 13.57 - 13.99 13.99 - 14.42
4.65% 19.79% 26.39% 26.99% 11.39% 6.9%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.9% to move lower than 11.86 or higher than 14.42.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓3.25%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓3.25% at 54.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓2.88% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓25.59%.

- Mean %: ∓3.65%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.8% - 1.2% 1.2% - 2.4% 2.4% - 4.81% 4.81% - 9.62% 9.62% - 14.42%
0.0% 3.29% 34.88% 54.34% 6.59%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.9% to move lower than 0.8% or higher than 14.42%.

- Standard deviation range is 2.4% at 3.0th percentile.

- Median %: 5.33% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.6%.

- High %: 16.5%.

- Mean %: 5.83%.