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Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-05-18 - 2022-05-17

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  • 1.11% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 304

  • Upside:Downside

    52.6% 47.4%

  • -3.86% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 150

  • Upside:Downside

    57.3% 42.7%

  • -18.54% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 18

  • Upside:Downside

    72.2% 27.8%

  • -24.35% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 10

  • Upside:Downside

    70.0% 30.0%

  • -28.44% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -25.36% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 4

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -47.54% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 10

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


170.83 - 174.48 174.48 - 178.12 178.12 - 181.77 181.77 - 185.42 185.42 - 189.06 189.06 - 192.71
5.5% 12.57% 23.58% 31.43% 14.73% 4.72%

Details

- Beyond the model: 7.47% to move lower than 170.83 or higher than 192.71.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓2.01%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓2.01% at 55.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓1.74% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.12%.

- High %: ∓9.82%.

- Mean %: ∓2.36%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.6% - 0.89% 0.89% - 1.79% 1.79% - 3.57% 3.57% - 7.14% 7.14% - 10.71%
0.0% 10.39% 43.73% 38.82% 6.67%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.39% to move lower than 0.6% or higher than 10.71%.

- Standard deviation range is 1.79% at 10.0th percentile.

- Median %: 3.45% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.06%.

- High %: 12.23%.

- Mean %: 3.72%.