PLTR


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-12-01 - 2022-12-02

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  • 4.07% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 186

  • Upside:Downside

    49.5% 50.5%

  • 1.32% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 117

  • Upside:Downside

    47.9% 52.1%

  • -3.16% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 80

  • Upside:Downside

    48.7% 51.2%

  • -8.91% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 54

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -10.5% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 37

  • Upside:Downside

    43.2% 56.8%

  • -19.18% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 15

  • Upside:Downside

    40.0% 60.0%

  • -61.94% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 61

  • Upside:Downside

    45.9% 54.1%

  • 19.1% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 27

  • Upside:Downside

    63.0% 37.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


7.02 - 7.24 7.24 - 7.45 7.45 - 7.67 7.67 - 7.89 7.89 - 8.1 8.1 - 8.32
5.81% 15.21% 29.91% 28.38% 14.19% 2.74%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.76% to move lower than 7.02 or higher than 8.32.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓2.83%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓2.83% at 58.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓2.36% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.12%.

- High %: ∓25.4%.

- Mean %: ∓3.02%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.75% - 1.12% 1.12% - 2.24% 2.24% - 4.47% 4.47% - 8.95% 8.95% - 13.42%
0.0% 3.41% 44.37% 48.12% 3.58%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.51% to move lower than 0.75% or higher than 13.42%.

- Standard deviation range is 2.24% at 3.0th percentile.

- Median %: 4.54% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.81%.

- High %: 20.92%.

- Mean %: 4.98%.