PLTR


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-09-30 - 2022-05-16

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  • -9.66% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 102

  • Upside:Downside

    41.2% 58.8%

  • -22.02% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 28

  • Upside:Downside

    35.7% 64.3%

  • -31.22% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 21

  • Upside:Downside

    66.7% 33.3%

  • -38.81% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 17

  • Upside:Downside

    47.1% 52.9%

  • -50.49% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 16

  • Upside:Downside

    31.3% 68.8%

  • -56.4% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 22

  • Upside:Downside

    27.3% 72.7%

  • -72.55% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 13

  • Upside:Downside

    46.2% 53.8%

  • 24.84% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 11

  • Upside:Downside

    36.4% 63.6%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


7.13 - 7.44 7.44 - 7.74 7.74 - 8.04 8.04 - 8.34 8.34 - 8.64 8.64 - 8.95
2.94% 14.29% 40.76% 23.11% 9.66% 5.04%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.2% to move lower than 7.13 or higher than 8.95.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓3.76%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓3.76% at 64.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.2% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.17%.

- High %: ∓21.31%.

- Mean %: ∓3.95%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.82% - 1.23% 1.23% - 2.46% 2.46% - 4.92% 4.92% - 9.84% 9.84% - 14.76%
0.0% 2.09% 25.52% 65.27% 5.44%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.67% to move lower than 0.82% or higher than 14.76%.

- Standard deviation range is 2.46% at 2.0th percentile.

- Median %: 5.87% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.01%.

- High %: 17.94%.

- Mean %: 6.27%.