SAVA


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2019-09-24 - 2021-09-27

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  • 36.84% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 22

  • Upside:Downside

    54.5% 45.5%

  • 34.32% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 56

  • Upside:Downside

    53.6% 46.4%

  • -17.06% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 66

  • Upside:Downside

    43.9% 56.1%

  • -9.03% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 39

  • Upside:Downside

    51.3% 48.7%

  • 4.61% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • 24.83% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 46

  • Upside:Downside

    45.7% 54.3%

  • -53.11% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 95

  • Upside:Downside

    47.4% 52.6%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


38.04 - 48.2 48.2 - 58.37 58.37 - 68.53 68.53 - 78.69 78.69 - 88.86 88.86 - 99.02
0.0% 3.26% 48.66% 39.47% 4.75% 2.67%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.19% to move lower than 38.04 or higher than 99.02.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓14.83%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓14.83% at 88.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓4.06% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.13%.

- High %: ∓42.03%.

- Mean %: ∓7.83%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.53% - 3.8% 3.8% - 7.59% 7.59% - 15.19% 15.19% - 30.38% 30.38% - 45.56%
2.07% 40.83% 36.69% 17.16% 2.37%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.89% to move lower than 2.53% or higher than 45.56%.

- Standard deviation range is 7.59% at 43.0th percentile.

- Median %: 8.35% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.34%.

- High %: 39.45%.

- Mean %: 10.87%.