SBFM


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-05-18 - 2022-05-17

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  • -11.26% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 112

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -30.14% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 31

  • Upside:Downside

    58.1% 41.9%

  • -39.38% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 21

  • Upside:Downside

    38.1% 61.9%

  • -37.06% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 19

  • Upside:Downside

    31.6% 68.4%

  • -44.19% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 10

  • Upside:Downside

    20.0% 80.0%

  • -55.53% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    16.7% 83.3%

  • -89.54% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 44

  • Upside:Downside

    43.2% 56.8%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


1.68 - 1.78 1.78 - 1.87 1.87 - 1.97 1.97 - 2.07 2.07 - 2.16 2.16 - 2.26
4.78% 17.13% 32.67% 19.12% 8.76% 5.58%

Details

- Beyond the model: 11.95% to move lower than 1.68 or higher than 2.26.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓4.93%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓4.93% at 52.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓4.76% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.14%.

- High %: ∓43.02%.

- Mean %: ∓10.35%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


2.76% - 4.15% 4.15% - 8.29% 8.29% - 16.58% 16.58% - 33.17% 33.17% - 49.75%
0.79% 22.62% 45.63% 25.79% 4.37%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.79% to move lower than 2.76% or higher than 49.75%.

- Standard deviation range is 8.29% at 23.0th percentile.

- Median %: 12.0% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.71%.

- High %: 54.71%.

- Mean %: 14.49%.