SIGA


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-06-29 - 2022-06-28

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  • -2.71% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 436

  • Upside:Downside

    54.8% 45.2%

  • -3.48% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 385

  • Upside:Downside

    55.6% 44.4%

  • 23.17% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 21

  • Upside:Downside

    61.9% 38.1%

  • 45.23% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 11

  • Upside:Downside

    36.4% 63.6%

  • 49.33% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 7

  • Upside:Downside

    28.6% 71.4%

  • 52.82% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 4

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%

  • -24.93% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 149

  • Upside:Downside

    55.0% 45.0%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


10.03 - 10.39 10.39 - 10.75 10.75 - 11.11 11.11 - 11.47 11.47 - 11.83 11.83 - 12.19
1.08% 7.16% 38.43% 41.76% 7.35% 1.18%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.04% to move lower than 10.03 or higher than 12.19.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓3.24%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓3.24% at 80.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓1.54% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.14%.

- High %: ∓43.35%.

- Mean %: ∓2.32%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.1% - 1.65% 1.65% - 3.3% 3.3% - 6.59% 6.59% - 13.18% 13.18% - 19.77%
2.55% 41.82% 43.78% 8.81% 2.35%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.69% to move lower than 1.1% or higher than 19.77%.

- Standard deviation range is 3.3% at 44.0th percentile.

- Median %: 3.5% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.9%.

- High %: 30.32%.

- Mean %: 4.37%.