SNDL


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2019-10-22 - 2021-10-25

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  • 0.0% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 147

  • Upside:Downside

    46.9% 53.1%

  • 0.0% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 95

  • Upside:Downside

    33.7% 66.3%

  • -5.63% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 38

  • Upside:Downside

    23.7% 76.3%

  • -17.28% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 59

  • Upside:Downside

    42.4% 57.6%

  • -20.24% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 19

  • Upside:Downside

    36.8% 63.2%

  • -28.72% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 10

  • Upside:Downside

    60.0% 40.0%

  • -83.08% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 117

  • Upside:Downside

    42.7% 57.3%

  • 385.16% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 2

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.57 - 0.6 0.6 - 0.64 0.64 - 0.67 0.67 - 0.7 0.7 - 0.74 0.74 - 0.77
1.21% 13.13% 44.85% 29.29% 5.25% 2.83%

Details

- Beyond the model: 3.43% to move lower than 0.57 or higher than 0.77.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓5.17%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓5.17% at 75.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.06% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓41.47%.

- Mean %: ∓4.4%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.98% - 2.97% 2.97% - 5.94% 5.94% - 11.88% 11.88% - 23.76% 23.76% - 35.64%
7.86% 38.91% 38.91% 11.49% 2.22%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.6% to move lower than 1.98% or higher than 35.64%.

- Standard deviation range is 5.94% at 47.0th percentile.

- Median %: 6.02% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.0%.

- High %: 54.07%.

- Mean %: 7.74%.