SOFI


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-11-30 - 2022-05-17

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  • 12.26% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 51

  • Upside:Downside

    52.9% 47.1%

  • 10.16% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 64

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -10.65% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 58

  • Upside:Downside

    39.7% 60.3%

  • -32.02% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 14

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -46.83% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 6

  • Upside:Downside

    66.7% 33.3%

  • -49.1% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 7

  • Upside:Downside

    42.9% 57.1%

  • -71.74% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 25

  • Upside:Downside

    40.0% 60.0%

  • 46.27% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    100.0% 0.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


6.38 - 6.6 6.6 - 6.83 6.83 - 7.05 7.05 - 7.27 7.27 - 7.5 7.5 - 7.72
8.97% 16.67% 25.21% 27.35% 13.68% 2.56%

Details

- Beyond the model: 5.56% to move lower than 6.38 or higher than 7.72.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓3.18%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓3.18% at 53.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.09% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓23.96%.

- Mean %: ∓3.71%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.88% - 1.32% 1.32% - 2.64% 2.64% - 5.29% 5.29% - 10.58% 10.58% - 15.87%
0.0% 2.13% 37.02% 53.62% 5.96%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.28% to move lower than 0.88% or higher than 15.87%.

- Standard deviation range is 2.64% at 2.0th percentile.

- Median %: 5.9% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.55%.

- High %: 19.17%.

- Mean %: 6.49%.