TCDA


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-12-01 - 2022-12-02

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  • 0.0% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 425

  • Upside:Downside

    53.2% 46.8%

  • -4.0% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 333

  • Upside:Downside

    54.1% 45.9%

  • N/A from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • N/A from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • N/A from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • N/A from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • -98.27% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 27

  • Upside:Downside

    37.0% 63.0%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


0.2 - 0.21 0.21 - 0.23 0.23 - 0.24 0.24 - 0.25 0.25 - 0.27 0.27 - 0.28
1.27% 6.46% 41.32% 43.22% 6.21% 0.89%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.63% to move lower than 0.2 or higher than 0.28.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓5.7%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓5.7% at 84.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓2.53% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓38.72%.

- Mean %: ∓3.62%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.19% - 1.78% 1.78% - 3.56% 3.56% - 7.12% 7.12% - 14.23% 14.23% - 21.35%
0.0% 10.0% 58.99% 27.34% 2.78%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.89% to move lower than 1.19% or higher than 21.35%.

- Standard deviation range is 3.56% at 10.0th percentile.

- Median %: 5.61% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.99%.

- High %: 29.99%.

- Mean %: 6.62%.