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TLRY


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2021-01-11 - 2022-12-23

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  • 0.72% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 159

  • Upside:Downside

    40.3% 59.7%

  • -6.38% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 145

  • Upside:Downside

    46.2% 53.8%

  • -20.96% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 76

  • Upside:Downside

    51.3% 48.7%

  • -18.66% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 67

  • Upside:Downside

    41.8% 58.2%

  • -19.83% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 16

  • Upside:Downside

    31.3% 68.8%

  • -30.25% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 10

  • Upside:Downside

    60.0% 40.0%

  • -69.27% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 54

  • Upside:Downside

    33.3% 66.7%

  • 10.71% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 35

  • Upside:Downside

    48.6% 51.4%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


2.45 - 2.57 2.57 - 2.68 2.68 - 2.79 2.79 - 2.9 2.9 - 3.01 3.01 - 3.13
2.81% 21.4% 33.51% 26.84% 10.7% 1.75%

Details

- Beyond the model: 2.98% to move lower than 2.45 or higher than 3.13.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓4.02%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓4.02% at 60.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.28% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.12%.

- High %: ∓30.87%.

- Mean %: ∓4.03%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.1% - 1.66% 1.66% - 3.31% 3.31% - 6.62% 6.62% - 13.25% 13.25% - 19.87%
0.0% 4.2% 57.62% 34.68% 2.28%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.23% to move lower than 1.1% or higher than 19.87%.

- Standard deviation range is 3.31% at 4.0th percentile.

- Median %: 5.84% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 2.38%.

- High %: 26.72%.

- Mean %: 6.66%.