TLRY


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-12-01 - 2022-12-02

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  • 21.61% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 77

  • Upside:Downside

    41.6% 58.4%

  • 20.36% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 105

  • Upside:Downside

    44.8% 55.2%

  • 33.81% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 21

  • Upside:Downside

    33.3% 66.7%

  • 31.18% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%

  • N/A from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %

  • 8.35% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 1

  • Upside:Downside

    0.0% 100.0%

  • -52.99% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 14

  • Upside:Downside

    42.9% 57.1%

  • N/A from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 0

  • Upside:Downside

    No % No %





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


3.84 - 4.12 4.12 - 4.39 4.39 - 4.67 4.67 - 4.95 4.95 - 5.22 5.22 - 5.5
1.32% 15.86% 39.65% 23.79% 7.49% 7.05%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.85% to move lower than 3.84 or higher than 5.5.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓5.9%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓5.9% at 63.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓4.55% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.25%.

- High %: ∓40.74%.

- Mean %: ∓5.97%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.41% - 2.12% 2.12% - 4.23% 4.23% - 8.46% 8.46% - 16.92% 16.92% - 25.39%
0.0% 1.75% 46.49% 45.18% 6.58%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.0% to move lower than 1.41% or higher than 25.39%.

- Standard deviation range is 4.23% at 1.0th percentile.

- Median %: 8.73% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 3.16%.

- High %: 24.69%.

- Mean %: 9.97%.