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TSLA


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2021-01-11 - 2022-12-23

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  • 2.53% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 317

  • Upside:Downside

    52.1% 47.9%

  • -11.57% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 118

  • Upside:Downside

    44.9% 55.1%

  • -30.14% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 42

  • Upside:Downside

    54.8% 45.2%

  • -45.6% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 11

  • Upside:Downside

    72.7% 27.3%

  • -48.58% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 13

  • Upside:Downside

    69.2% 30.8%

  • -52.08% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 11

  • Upside:Downside

    45.5% 54.5%

  • -69.19% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 12

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • 16.3% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 24

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%




Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


109.08 - 112.19 112.19 - 115.3 115.3 - 118.41 118.41 - 121.52 121.52 - 124.63 124.63 - 127.74
7.01% 12.59% 26.98% 30.04% 11.69% 7.01%

Details

- Beyond the model: 4.68% to move lower than 109.08 or higher than 127.74.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓2.63%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓2.63% at 57.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓2.19% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓13.53%.

- Mean %: ∓2.96%.



Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.77% - 1.16% 1.16% - 2.31% 2.31% - 4.62% 4.62% - 9.25% 9.25% - 13.87%
0.18% 9.52% 40.39% 45.24% 4.31%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.36% to move lower than 0.77% or higher than 13.87%.

- Standard deviation range is 2.31% at 10.0th percentile.

- Median %: 4.62% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.84%.

- High %: 21.44%.

- Mean %: 4.87%.