TSLA


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-12-01 - 2022-12-02

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  • 6.74% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 79

  • Upside:Downside

    53.2% 46.8%

  • 3.13% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 131

  • Upside:Downside

    54.2% 45.8%

  • -10.5% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 48

  • Upside:Downside

    37.5% 62.5%

  • -22.68% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 36

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -21.96% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 14

  • Upside:Downside

    64.3% 35.7%

  • -26.62% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 24

  • Upside:Downside

    58.3% 41.7%

  • -51.75% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 12

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • 16.92% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 22

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


179.9 - 184.7 184.7 - 189.5 189.5 - 194.3 194.3 - 199.1 199.1 - 203.9 203.9 - 208.7
8.29% 11.23% 28.61% 30.21% 12.83% 3.48%

Details

- Beyond the model: 5.35% to move lower than 179.9 or higher than 208.7.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓2.47%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓2.47% at 59.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓1.89% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.11%.

- High %: ∓13.53%.

- Mean %: ∓2.61%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


0.66% - 0.99% 0.99% - 1.98% 1.98% - 3.95% 3.95% - 7.9% 7.9% - 11.85%
0.27% 8.0% 38.4% 48.0% 5.07%

Details

- Beyond the model: 0.27% to move lower than 0.66% or higher than 11.85%.

- Standard deviation range is 1.98% at 8.0th percentile.

- Median %: 4.11% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 0.84%.

- High %: 12.28%.

- Mean %: 4.4%.