TSLA


Model uses technical references to compare current stats with past stats to forecast next day performance.

*SMA: Simple Moving Average.

2020-05-18 - 2022-05-17

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  • -6.48% from 10 SMA

    Sample Size: 137

  • Upside:Downside

    52.6% 47.4%

  • -13.31% from 20 SMA

    Sample Size: 46

  • Upside:Downside

    47.8% 52.2%

  • -18.29% from 50 SMA

    Sample Size: 41

  • Upside:Downside

    61.0% 39.0%

  • -19.32% from 100 SMA

    Sample Size: 31

  • Upside:Downside

    41.9% 58.1%

  • -21.66% from 150 SMA

    Sample Size: 3

  • Upside:Downside

    100.0% 0.0%

  • -16.61% from 200 SMA

    Sample Size: 2

  • Upside:Downside

    50.0% 50.0%

  • -38.75% from 52 Week High

    Sample Size: 17

  • Upside:Downside

    64.7% 35.3%

  • 39.24% from 52 Week Low

    Sample Size: 2

  • Upside:Downside

    100.0% 0.0%





Probability Model:

Collection of next day performances from stats above.


699.01 - 719.87 719.87 - 740.74 740.74 - 761.61 761.61 - 782.48 782.48 - 803.35 803.35 - 824.21
5.92% 14.98% 22.3% 23.69% 21.6% 5.23%

Details

- Beyond the model: 6.27% to move lower than 699.01 or higher than 824.21.

- Expected percent range 0 - ∓2.74%.

- Standard deviation range is ∓2.74% at 46.0th percentile.

- Median %: ∓3.19% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: ∓0.12%.

- High %: ∓21.06%.

- Mean %: ∓3.53%.




Intraday Model:

Movement range in single day. From high to low of day.


1.18% - 1.77% 1.77% - 3.55% 3.55% - 7.09% 7.09% - 14.18% 14.18% - 21.27%
0.0% 18.06% 58.68% 21.53% 0.0%

Details

- Beyond the model: 1.74% to move lower than 1.18% or higher than 21.27%.

- Standard deviation range is 3.55% at 18.0th percentile.

- Median %: 5.39% at 50th percentile.

- Low %: 1.92%.

- High %: 31.35%.

- Mean %: 6.04%.